egrettably, the current infrastructure and
operating capabilities are insufficient to accommodate the
escalating demand for air travel, which is gaining popularity.
Aircraft delays have increased in frequency due to the erratic
weather patterns caused by climate change. Extensive study has
been conducted on short-term forecasting; nevertheless, due to
the intricacies of international flight networks, there is an
increasing demand for long-term flight delay prediction and
analysis. This work proposes a comprehensive technique that
encompasses data preparation, feature selection, and model
training, thereby fulfilling the criteria. The preprocessing phase
entails data cleansing and quality assurance, while the Boruta
approach is employed to identify pertinent attributes. XGBoost
enhances feature selection by retaining features that exceed a
specified relevance threshold. A hybrid model, LSTM-XGBoost,
is proposed to improve performance. It integrates the optimal
threshold with a tailored loss function. The model attained a
binary flight delay prediction accuracy of 95.57%, with a
RMSE of 0.35, a MAPE of 3.71, and a MAE of 0.2, based on
actual flight data evaluation. The results indicate that the
LSTM-XGBoost model effectively enhances long-term flight
delay predictions, hence optimising aircraft operations amid
increasing air traffic and climate-related disturbances.
The flight delay prediction studies in the past most of those
studies have focused on short timeframes like or up to and
have mostly been applied to airline services. International
flights traverse great distances across seas and continents and
their durations range from 10 to 20 hours. This highlights the
need for delay prediction over longer timeframes. The
capacity to forecast aviation delays over lengthy time periods
using input data opens up new possibilities for long-haul
flights and different flight itineraries which is a practical use
of such models. Flight resource management is only one area
that stands to gain from this enhanced capability are many
other uses [1]. Uncertainties abound in the aviation industry
which is characterized by its dynamism, competitiveness and
volatility. These uncertainties include flight delays caused